October 5: The expected track of Hurricane Matthew has shifted lessening the likelihood of a direct hit on our region however, no one can predict with certainty the path of a hurricane.
Jim Cantore expects the eye to come within 90 – 100 miles of our coast bringing winds from 25 – 45 miles per hour and with it heavy rain and high surf.
Again there is no certain path – just models and predictions.
The most likely scenario is a near miss with strong weather impacts. This would involve the center of Matthew tracking just to the south of our region. However, since this will be a large storm, peripheral impacts would include potentially significant rain, gusty winds, heavy surf, rip currents, and beach erosion will certainly be possible.
Less likely scenario would be a direct hit with significant impacts: This is still a possibility but much less likely than the scenario above. It involves even more significant rain, wind, and possibly storm surge impacts.
Least likely scenario is a “clean” miss with minimal impacts. This far-offshore track is possible but much LESS LIKELY than the above scenarios.
